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SRNL Weather Center Fire Forecast (PM)

Date:
August 14, 2026
Forecast Period:
8:00 PM Today (August 14, 2026) through 8:00 AM Three Days from Now (August 18, 2026)
Discussion:
High heat Stress today as ridge builds into the CSRA today. The increasing strength of the ridge decrease the chance of a thunderstorms this afternoon, but cannot rule it out completely.
Special Conditions:
Strong Inversion Friday and Saturday nights (both)
Short Term Forecast
(** Scroll table to see more information **)
Tonight (August 14) Saturday (August 15) Saturday Night
Sky Condition Mostly Clear Mostly Sunny then Thunderstorms Partly Cloudy
Max/Min Temp 75 96 75
1st Period Wind Direction/Speed SW 1-2, gusts to 3 NW 2-4, gusts to 8 light and variable
2nd Period Wind Direction/Speed SW 1-2, gusts to 3 NW 2-4, gusts to 8 light and variable
Humidity % (min/max) 95 50 95
Stability F B F
Mixing Height (ft) Strong inversion 9pm - 8am 6500 Strong inversion 8pm - 8am
Transport Direction/Speed (mph) N/A WNW 8 N/A
Precipitation Chance (%) 30 30 20
Precipitation Start-Stop till 11pm after 5pm till 2 am
Precipitation Type Scattered Thunderstorms Scattered thunderstorms Scattered Thunderstorms
Precipitation Amount 0.01-0.10 0.05 - 0.15 0.05 - 0.15, or more in persistent thunderstorm areas
Fog Potential None expected None expected None expected
Extended Forecast for August 16 - 18
Sunday (August 16) Monday (August 17) Tuesday (August 18)
State of the Weather Mostly Sunny then Thunderstorms Sunny then Thunderstorms Sunny then Thunderstorms
Maximum Temp (F) 97 100 99
Minimum Temp (F) 75 75 75
Surface Wind Direction/Speed (MPH) NE 2-5, gusts to 10 W 3-5, gusts to10 NW
Humidity Moderate High High
Dispersion Potential Good Good Good
PrecipitationChance 20 10 10
Precipitation Type Scattered thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms
Updated August 14, 2026 05:17 PM
SWW / Atmospheric Technology Group
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