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SRNL Weather Center Fire Forecast (AM)

Date:
May 21, 2026
Forecast Period:
8:00 AM Today (May 21, 2026) through 8:00 AM Tomorrow (May 22, 2026)
Discussion:
A front will stall out in the Carolinas and will be the focus of the unsettled weather this weekend. While precipitation will be widespread (certain), where the front ends up stalling will have impact on what the temperatures are, since the differences across the front are large. For now, we are expected to stay on the warm side of the front, but small changes in location could result in large changes to the forecasted temperatures. Expect this pattern to break down on Sunday, with fair weather returning on Monday (Memorial day), although there will still be a chance of thunderstorms Monday afternoon.
Special Conditions:
Short Term Forecast
(** Scroll table to see more information **)
Today (May 21) Tonight (May 21) Friday (May 22)
Sky Condition Mostly Sunny then Thunderstorms Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy Rain Showers then Thunderstorms
Max/Min Temp 90 67 90
1st Period Wind Direction/Speed S 1-3, gusts to 5 SSE 1-3, gusts to 5 SE 2-5, gusts to 10
2nd Period Wind Direction/Speed S 2-4, gusts to 8 SSE 1-3, gusts to 5 SE 3-5, gusts to 10
Humidity % (min/max) 40 95 50
Stability A D C
Mixing Height (ft) 5500 500 5500
Transport Direction/Speed (mph) S 8 SE 10 SSE 10
Precipitation Chance (%) 20 30 80
Precipitation Start-Stop After 6pm Before midnight 10 am
Precipitation Type Isolated thunderstorms showers and thunderstorms Showers and thunderstorms
Precipitation Amount 0.01-0.10 0.01-0.10 0.15-0.75
Fog Potential N/A N/A N/A
Updated May 21, 2026 07:27 AM
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