SRNL Weather Center Fire Forecast (PM)
Date:
October 11, 2019
Forecast Period:
8:00 PM Today (October 11, 2019) through 8:00 AM Three Days from Now (October 15, 2019)
Discussion:
Mild temperatures through the forecast period. High pressure over the area will gradually move eastward over the weekend. A weak cold front will approach the area Saturday, then stall over the area Sunday. Rain and showers possible Sunday evening through Wednesday with the lingering frontal boundary,
Special Conditions:
Extended outlook: Slightly cooler but seasonable conditions will end the week ahead as a cold front kicks out of the area. An amplified trough over the central US will flatten over the southeastern US with temperatures remaining slightly above normal and near normal chances of precipitation locally.
Short Term Forecast
(** Scroll table to see more information **)
(** Scroll table to see more information **)
| Tonight (October 11) | Saturday (October 12) | Saturday Night | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Condition | Clear then None | Partly Cloudy then None | Partly Cloudy then None |
| Max/Min Temp | 58 | 86 | 61 |
| 1st Period Wind Direction/Speed | SE 1-4, gusts to 8 | SW 2-5, gusts to 11 | S 1-3, gusts to 6 |
| 2nd Period Wind Direction/Speed | SW 0-2, gusts to 5 | SW 2-6, gusts to 13 | S 0-2, gusts to 4 |
| Humidity % (min/max) | 98 | 40 | 98 |
| Stability | F | A | F |
| Mixing Height (ft) | Inversion 7 pm - 8 am | 5000 | Inversion 7 pm - 8 am |
| Transport Direction/Speed (mph) | N/A | SW 5 | N/A |
| Precipitation Chance (%) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Precipitation Start-Stop | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Precipitation Type | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Precipitation Amount | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Fog Potential | Patchy fog possible by AM | Patchy fog possible near sunrise | Patchy fog possible by AM |
Extended Forecast for October 13 - 15
| Sunday (October 13) | Monday (October 14) | Tuesday (October 15) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| State of the Weather | Partly Cloudy then Rain Showers | Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy | Partly Cloudy then Rain Showers |
| Maximum Temp (F) | 82 | 79 | 80 |
| Minimum Temp (F) | 61 | 63 | 64 |
| Surface Wind Direction/Speed (MPH) | SW 3-6, gusts to 15 | W 2-6, gusts to 15 | S 2-6, gusts to 13 |
| Humidity | Moderate | Moderate | Moderate |
| Dispersion Potential | Fair | Fair | Fair |
| PrecipitationChance | 30 | 50 | 60 |
| Precipitation Type | Evening showers, then rain possible overnight | Rain AM, then a chance of scattered showers PM | Afternoon/evening rain showers |
SRC / Atmospheric Technology Group
Phone: 5-9488
Pager: 10841
Weather Center Phone: 5-1182